
Erdogan’s political future hangs in the balance, with the fate of Turkey’s Kurds emerging as a decisive factor. The once-dormant Kurdish issue has re-emerged as a potent force shaping Turkey’s political landscape. With ongoing tensions and calls for autonomy, Erdogan’s ability to maintain control over this significant demographic group is proving challenging. His success hinges on navigating the delicate balance between appeasing his base, including those who seek greater rights for Kurds, while simultaneously addressing concerns of instability and separatism. The outcome of these complex negotiations could determine whether Erdogan secures a second term or faces an uphill battle in maintaining power.